• The Crude Chronicles – Episode 22

    Crude Caught Between Opposing Market Pressures The CFTC COT positioning report showed that, last week, investors reduced their net long positions in WTI crude by 36,960 contracts, taking the total position to 530,312 contracts. The reduction in upside exposure was likely down to a spate of profit-taking as WTI continued to fall back following the […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 21

    WTI Under Pressure The CFTC COT positioning report showed that net length in US WTI positions rose by 12,415 contracts to 567,272 contracts in the week ending January 7th. The rise in WTI upside exposure came amidst a backdrop of heightened tensions between the US and Iran which many feared would boil over into a […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 20

    WTI Caught Between US-Iran Tensions & US-China Trade Deal The CFTC COT position report showed that last week, investors increased their upside positions in WTI by a further 4,780 contracts, taking the total position to 554,857 contracts. The recent increase in WTI positioning reflects the better expectations around US-Sino trade relations. Trump announced that the […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 19

    Opportunities & Risks For WTI In 2020 The CFTC COT positioning report showed that WTI traders increased their positions by 13,700 contracts last week, taking the total position in WTI to 550,077 contracts. Upside exposure has been steadily increasing over recent weeks reflecting a more encouraging environment for WTI in the wake of recent developments. […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 18

    Trade Deal & Brexit Optimism Supporting WTI The CFTC COT report showed that net long positions in crude increased by 67,504 contracts last. The total position in WTI crude now stands at 495,539 contracts. This latest increase in upside exposure in WTI crude reflects the optimism and relief among investors in the wake of OPEC+ […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 17

    Market Caught Between OPEC Cuts & Trade Deal Uncertainty CFTC COT data showed that net long positions in WTI crude declined by 42,901 contracts last week to sit at a total position of 428,035 contracts. The reduction in upside exposure in WTI prices likely reflects the diluted global investors appetite last week on concerns over […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 16

    Trade Deal Expectations Impacting Oil The CFTC COT report showed that investors increased their net long positions in WTI crude last week by a further 40,961 contracts. The total net-long position now stands at 470,936 contracts. The key premise for the build in upside exposure in WTI has been the rising expectations of a US-Sino […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 14

    Trade Talk Concerns Leaning On Oil Prices Benchmark WTI prices have been lower this week as emerging concern for the prospect of a US-Sino trade deal has stunted demand. Crude prices had been supported recently amidst expectations that the “phase one” trade deal agreed between the US and China was to be signed. However, with […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 13

    WTI Longs Build On Trade Deal Optimism The CFTC reported that over the last week, net long positions in WTI Crude futures were higher by 22,512 contracts, moving back up to a total long position of 138,389 contracts. This most recent build in US crude exposure reflects optimism towards the ongoing US-Sino trade negotiations which […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 12

    Trade Deal Hopes VS Negative OPEC Outlook WTI prices commenced the week in demand as expectations that the US and China will formally approve the mini-trade deal agreed earlier this month helped support global investor appetite. The driving force behind the latest surge in optimism over US-Sino trade discussions was the comments made at the […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 11

    “Phase One” Trade Deal Nearly Ready For Signing According to the latest comments from President Trump the US and China are on course to sign off on the “phase-one” trade deal announced a few weeks ago. Speaking on Monday, Trump told reporters that the two countries were “ahead of schedule” in terms of signing the […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 10

    US – Sino Trade Talks Boosting Oil Outlook Benchmark WTI prices have been supported over the week, marking a pause in the declines seen over the prior month. Since bottoming out around the $51 mark, WTI Crude has traded back up to $55. A key factor in the current stabilisation in WTI prices is the […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 7

    Oil Falls On Easing Middle-East Tensions & Global Growth Fears The CFTC COT update for the week ending September 24th showed net long positions in WTI crude futures were lower by -2,943 contracts, taking the position to 424,162 on the week. Speculative long positions fell by -1,864 contracts while short positions increased by +1079 contracts. […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 5

    Key WTI Headlines Over the Week The CFTC COT update for the week ending September 10th showed net long positions in WTI futures rose +44,048 contracts to 428,205 for the week. Speculative long positions jumped +18,639 contracts while short positions plunged -25,409 contracts. Benchmark WTI prices commenced the week with a 20% move north as […]

  • More loans, less market confidence

    Moody’s Investors Service downgrades the credit rating of the Chinese economy. According to the agency, even with the implementation of structural reforms by the Chinese authorities, pursuing the official economic targets will inevitably inflate the public debt in the medium term.