• The Crude Chronicles – Episode 8

    Further OPEC Cuts Under Discussion The CFTC COT report showed that Net longs in WTI crude have fallen to 4-week lows. Net longs fell by -34,843 contracts last week as bulls reduced positions for a third consecutive week. The recent downturn in global manufacturing has heightened concerns around the health of the global economy, putting […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 3

    Key points from this week The Japanese Yen was the standout performer of the week, rising firmly against USD as heightened concerns over the health of the global economy drove steady safe-haven inflows over the week. The worst performing currency of the G10 space this week was the Swiss Franc which fell amidst a slew […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 7

    Oil Falls On Easing Middle-East Tensions & Global Growth Fears The CFTC COT update for the week ending September 24th showed net long positions in WTI crude futures were lower by -2,943 contracts, taking the position to 424,162 on the week. Speculative long positions fell by -1,864 contracts while short positions increased by +1079 contracts. […]

  • Oil market shows positive results

    Oil market shows signs of growth due to lowered OPEC productions, however, shale extraction in the United States can change the market direction.

  • Have bears crashed the oil price?

    Investors were well aware of the shale producers plans to increase production, but yesterday’s statistics took everyone by surprise.

  • How will Dollar react to Yellen´s farewell?

    Janet Yellen will hold a farewell press conference today, which will be closely monitored by investors. There is hope it will reference the tax reform, as well as, its impact on inflation and unemployment.

  • Will Draghi choose the cautions approach?

    The Central Bank plans to announce an asset purchase program cut at today’s meeting and any deviation from the most likely scenario (€ 30bn, 9 months) could potentially cause volatility in the markets, particularly affecting the European currency and German bonds.

  • What’s wrong with the Phillips curve in the US economy?

    One of the strengths of the July NFP was primarily the increase in wages by 0.3%. Given the high consumer expectations, the increase will give hope for growth in the July consumption, and thus will provide inflation improvement.

  • What state is the Oil market in?

    According to the forecast of EIA, shale production in August will increase by about 100K barrels. Comparing the production dynamics in the US and the OPEC countries with unlimited production, the latter significantly contribute to the glut of the market.

  • Is France on a clear presidential path now?

    Macron won the final debates ahead of the second election round, making the precious metals and Yen accelerated declines. The USD rate hike possibility rose immensely for July.

  • Can NAFTA washout crash the oil market?

    In the beginning of the week there were reports that Trump´s administration was going to unilaterally break the NAFTA agreement, but things have gotten a lot more complicated since then. Changes in the trade agreement, or its possible termination, could potentially affect the Oil market.

  • Pound falls on the Supreme Court decision

    Dollar bears retreat on profit taking, as the currency index has dipped below 100 level with the support of Asian traders on Tuesday.

  • Yellen and Draghi spook investors

    The ECB baulks hopes, as no signal for folding stimulus, has been given. Dollar gains before Trump swear in.

  • Are OPEC cuts going to be in vain?

    The prospects for a rebalance on the market are likely to be hindered mainly due to the revival of shale production in the US.

  • The holiday uncertainty urges investors to retreat

    Long holidays fuel the appeal of safe heavens, as greenback drops.