• Softer Outlook For NZD Economy

    The release of the NZIER’s Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion suggests an increased likelihood that we could see negative rates in New Zealand at some point in the future. Currently, the RBNZ projects that the level of rate cuts and fiscal easing in play will be enough to fuel a pickup in economic growth, taking […]

  • RBA Cuts Rates To New Record Lows

    RBA Cuts Rates Further The Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its headline interest rate by a further 25 basis points overnight. The official cash rate in Australia now stands at a record low of .050%. The reduction was well signalled and follows recent comments from governor Lowe explaining the likely need for further monetary easing. […]

  • RBNZ Holds Rates But Still Room For Further Easing

    Rates Held At Record Lows With the RBNZ having unexpectedly cut rates by .50% at its last meeting, there was a lingering sense of caution coming into yesterday’s meeting. While the bank was not expected to cut rates again, there was certainly the sense that the market was not looking to be caught off guard […]

  • The IndeX Files 24-09-2019

    Risk Markets Looking for Fresh Drivers Global benchmark indexes remain muted following the September FOMC meeting. Policymakers, led by Fed chair Powell, announced a 25-basis point reduction in the headline cash rate, the second only rate cut in a decade. However, the voting split has seen reduced pricing for further rate cuts this year with […]

  • Investment Bank Outlook 23-09-2019

    In this installment of the Investment Bank Outlook 23-09-19, we’re going to bring you a selection of perspectives from leading investment banks to outline the key issues and directional views for the week ahead. These excerpts, taken from research notes, will cover issues such as key market themes, economic releases, as well as any major […]

  • September BOE Meeting Preview

    Expectations For The September BOE Meeting The BOE, led by Governor Mark Carney, is due to make its last rate-setting decision today ahead of the October 31st Brexit deadline. Given the proximity of the deadline as well as the persistent uncertainty over the outcome, the consensus forecast is for the BOE to keep policy unchanged […]

  • September BOJ Meeting Preview

    Expectations For September BOJ Meeting Bank of Japan policymakers hold their September rate-setting meeting this week and expectations are divided regarding the likelihood of further easing. Meeting last in July, the BOJ said that should the global slowdown threaten the Japanese economy, it would act “without hesitation” to ease further. Speaking at the post-decision press […]

  • September FOMC Meeting Preview

    Expectations For The September FOMC Meeting September FOMC meeting today is expected to see the Fed reducing rates by a further 25 basis points. When the Fed last eased its headline policy rate in July, Powell noted that policymakers deemed the rate cut to be “Mid-cycle adjustment” and not the beginning of a length easing […]

  • The IndeX Files 17-09-2019

    Risks Remain Amidst Positive Backdrop The fundamental backdrop for equities remains supportive in the near term though benchmarks in the US, Europe, Asia and the UK have seen a pause in momentum so far this week. The announcement of a new range of easing measures from the ECB at its meeting this month has helped […]

  • September SNB Meeting Preview

    Expectations For September SNB Meeting Central bankers across the G10 space have moved drastically to the dovish side this year. A renewed outbreak of trade tariffs between the US and China has exacerbated the global downturn, keeping inflation subdued across the board. With the Fed, the ECB, the RBA and RBNZ each having eased further […]

  • EUR Bid Despite Fresh Wave of ECB Easing

    ECB opts For Range of Options It was a wild day for the Euro yesterday as traders reacted to the keenly anticipated September ECB meeting. In line with broad market expectations, the central bank announced a range of easing measures including a reduction in the deposit rate, the restarting of QE, the introduction of a […]

  • July ECB Minutes Boost September Easing Calls

    ECB Minutes Highlight Dovish Risks The release of the ECB July meeting minutes has increased expectations that the central bank will announce fresh easing measures when it meets next in September. The minutes revealed that policymakers’ discussions around the outlook for growth and inflation in the eurozone had become more pessimistic. Regarding growth, the minute […]

  • NZD Rocked By Surprise .50% RBNZ Rate Cut!

    Perhaps the recent USD experience in reaction to the Fed’s latest rate cut was a learning curve for the RBNZ. At its August meeting held overnight, the bank was widely expected to cut rates, with a .25% cut priced in. However, the RBNZ took markets by surprise as it announced a .50% rate cut, sending […]

  • RBA Keeps Rate On Hold But Cuts Growth Forecasts

    Rates Remain At Record Lows At its August meeting, held overnight, the RBA bucked expectations for further easing by keeping rates on hold, at record lows of 1%. Following reductions at both the June and July meetings, the market had anticipated a pause. However, traders are still looking for further cuts this year, with current […]