• The Crude Chronicles – Episode 33

    Oil Demand Decimated by Covid-19 Disruption Following the mild recovery seen in WTI price action last week, momentum has stalled with oil prices trading roughly flat so far on the week. The main driver for oil prices remains the ongoing COVID-19 situation. While risk assets, generally speaking, have been able to reclaim some higher ground […]

  • OPEC Calls Emergency Meeting Amidst Oil Rout

    Will Saudi Arabia & Russia Finally Co-operate? Oil prices have turned higher at the end of the week following the calling of an emergency OPEC+ meeting next week. Following calls from President Trump to end the stand-off between Saudi Arabia and Russia, Saudi Arabia has announced the meetings for Monday April 6th. Taking to Twitter […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 28

    Key Points From This Week Chinese Manufacturing Recovers Following a plunge to record lows of 35.7 in February, the Chinese manufacturing sector rebounded firmly in March to post highs of 52.3 on the Caixin PMI index. The market had been forecasting a recovery to just 44.9 and was pleasantly surprised by the news. With lockdown […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 25

    Key Points From This Week Bank of England Cuts Rates The BOE became the latest central bank in the G10 space to lower its rates this week. Echoing the Fed, the BOE announced a surprise rate cut of 0.5% midweek in response to the ballooning COVID-19 situation. With the UK very shortly to go into […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 29

    The latest CFTC COT positioning report showed that net long positions in WTI crude were reduced by 43,097 contracts last week taking the total position to 388,369 contracts. It is safe to say that this reduction will have no doubt been amplified over recent days in light of the developments we have seen. COVID-19 Recession […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 28

    Oil Recovers As Stimulus Helps Risk Appetite Rebound Benchmark WTI prices have risen steadily this week, spurred on by a broad improvement in global investor appetite. Markets started the week in better health amidst growing expectations of central bank intervention in response to the growing threat from COVID-19. On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve rewarded these […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 23

    Key Points From This Week US Dollar Sell-Off The Dollar has seen a sharp repricing of rate path expectations over recent days. The growing severity of the COVID-19 outbreak has seen investors ramping up their expectations of a Fed rate cut. The market is now pricing in a .25% cut by the April meeting as […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 27

    Oil Sinking As Risk Appetite Evaporates The CFTC COT report reflected an increase in upside positions in WTI last week of 14,995 contracts. This latest increase in long positioning takes the total bullish position to 411,764 contracts. The increase in upside exposure came despite the growing mood of risk aversion in the markets in response […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 26

    Crude Recovers On COVID-19 Optimism Benchmark WTI prices have risen over the week as the rebound in global investor appetite helped oil recover from earlier losses in the week. Negative headlines attached to the growing economic impact of COVID-19 were leaning on oil prices at the start of the week, seeing a broad risk-off tone […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 25

    Benchmark WTI prices have had a much stronger session this week with prices recovering to highs of mid $51 from recent lows of $49. The recovery has largely been attributed to the recovery in global investor appetite over this week. OPEC Cuts Demand Outlook Investor uncertainty has been lower over the last month due to […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 21

    WTI Under Pressure The CFTC COT positioning report showed that net length in US WTI positions rose by 12,415 contracts to 567,272 contracts in the week ending January 7th. The rise in WTI upside exposure came amidst a backdrop of heightened tensions between the US and Iran which many feared would boil over into a […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 19

    Opportunities & Risks For WTI In 2020 The CFTC COT positioning report showed that WTI traders increased their positions by 13,700 contracts last week, taking the total position in WTI to 550,077 contracts. Upside exposure has been steadily increasing over recent weeks reflecting a more encouraging environment for WTI in the wake of recent developments. […]

  • Running Through The Top Market Themes Of 2019

    US-Sino Trade War The year began positively between the US and China. Following a truce agreed at the G20 summit in November 2018, both sides were engaged in trade talks aimed at delivering a trade deal ahead of the March 29th deadline given by president Trump. Over Q1 risk assets traded positively as media reporting […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 18

    Trade Deal & Brexit Optimism Supporting WTI The CFTC COT report showed that net long positions in crude increased by 67,504 contracts last. The total position in WTI crude now stands at 495,539 contracts. This latest increase in upside exposure in WTI crude reflects the optimism and relief among investors in the wake of OPEC+ […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 17

    Market Caught Between OPEC Cuts & Trade Deal Uncertainty CFTC COT data showed that net long positions in WTI crude declined by 42,901 contracts last week to sit at a total position of 428,035 contracts. The reduction in upside exposure in WTI prices likely reflects the diluted global investors appetite last week on concerns over […]