• The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 17

    Key Points From This Week US-Sino Trade Deal Signed The Phase one trade deal (which was originally announced in October 2019) was finally signed this week. US & Chinese leaders signed the deal in Washington on Wednesday, which broadly encompasses China committing to $200 billion of US purchases over the next two years in exchange […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 21

    WTI Under Pressure The CFTC COT positioning report showed that net length in US WTI positions rose by 12,415 contracts to 567,272 contracts in the week ending January 7th. The rise in WTI upside exposure came amidst a backdrop of heightened tensions between the US and Iran which many feared would boil over into a […]

  • US & UK Inflation Weaker Than Expected

    US Inflation Rises Over 2019, Weaker Over December The US was treated to a rather mixed inflation report yesterday. The CPI figures for December came in with headline inflation rising 0.2% month on month. This reading was in line with expectations though marked a decline from the prior month’s 0.3% reading. Meanwhile, the core inflation […]

  • The IndeX Files 14-01-2020

    Attention Turning Back Towards US-Sino Trade Deal Global benchmark equities indices have seen a pause in their recent upward trajectory though are consolidating near highs, suggesting a continuation higher is coming. The most notable themes for asset markets currently are those of reduced geopolitical risks linked to US-Iran tensions as well as the favourable backdrop […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 13-01-2020

    Gold With tensions between the US and Iran having dissipated over recent sessions, the new week has commenced with a firmly risk-on tone, seeing reduced safe-haven demand for gold.  The market is now focusing on the US-Sino trade deal which is due to be signed on Thursday in Washington. Following the signing of the deal, […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 16

    Key Points From This Week US – Iran Tensions Subside The week started off in bad shape with risk markets selling off as tensions between the US and Iran escalated. During speeches made during a day of mourning for slain Iranian general Soleimani, Iranian leaders vowed to take revenge on the US. Late on Tuesday […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 20

    WTI Caught Between US-Iran Tensions & US-China Trade Deal The CFTC COT position report showed that last week, investors increased their upside positions in WTI by a further 4,780 contracts, taking the total position to 554,857 contracts. The recent increase in WTI positioning reflects the better expectations around US-Sino trade relations. Trump announced that the […]

  • US-Iran Tensions Erupt: Market Impact

      US Kills Top Iranian General Global investor risk appetite was shaken last week on reports that the US had killed a top Iranian general during a drone strike carried out in Baghdad on Friday. Qassem Soleimani, a top Iranian general was confirmed to have been killed during the drone strike. Risk assets across the […]

  • The IndeX Files 07-01-2020

    US-Iran Fears Offset US-Sino Trade Deal Hopes Over recent sessions, the global equities landscape has been dominated by news-flow around US/Iranian tensions. America’s killing of top Iranian general Soleimani last week has sparked a worrying reaction from Iran which has vowed to avenge Soleimani’s death with the blood of American’s. Equities were heavily lower on […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 06-01-2020

    Gold The near-term outlook for gold looks tilted towards higher prices in light of the worrying news last week of an escalation in tensions between the US and Iran. Following a much calmer period of relations between the two countries since last summer’s standoff over Iranian attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 19

    Opportunities & Risks For WTI In 2020 The CFTC COT positioning report showed that WTI traders increased their positions by 13,700 contracts last week, taking the total position in WTI to 550,077 contracts. Upside exposure has been steadily increasing over recent weeks reflecting a more encouraging environment for WTI in the wake of recent developments. […]

  • Top Market Themes 2020

    Rather frustratingly, it seems that many of the big themes set to dominate 2020 will really be an extension of the stories that took centre stage over 2019. US-Sino Trade Negotiations. With an initial trade deal in place, focus will now shift on to the second round of negotiations. The first trade deal is due […]

  • Best Performing Currencies 2019

    British Pound 3.84% It’s been a classic comeback story for the pound this year. After spending three months in free-fall against the dollar, spiralling lower from 1.33 – 1.20 (which actually made it the wort performing currency of the year at the time) the pound has since made an impressive recovery back above the 1.30 […]

  • The IndeX Files 31-12-2019

    Equities End The year At Highs Global benchmark equities end the year well into highs with asset markets around the globe celebrating the beginning of the end for the US-Sino trade war, the evasion of a hard-Brexit in the UK and the still-low money market rates across the G10. The US and China have now […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 30-12-2019

    Gold On the back of recent moves, it is clear that gold prices will end 2019 well into positive figures. Currently around 15% higher on the year, gold is due to close out its best year since 2010. The rally in gold prices over the year has been in no small part due to the […]