• “Phase One” Trade Deal Puts EU Economic Rebound at Risk

    The European Union will file a lawsuit with the World Trade Organization (WTO) against the “Phase One” trade agreement between the United States and China in the event that consequences of the deal will negatively affect European companies, EU representative in China Nicolas Chapuis told reporters in Beijing on Friday.

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 17

    Key Points From This Week US-Sino Trade Deal Signed The Phase one trade deal (which was originally announced in October 2019) was finally signed this week. US & Chinese leaders signed the deal in Washington on Wednesday, which broadly encompasses China committing to $200 billion of US purchases over the next two years in exchange […]

  • What to Expect from the Euro after the Release of EU CPI Today?

    December US retail sales report released on Thursday showed that the shopping season paid off and there were no signs of consumer spending weakness at the end of last year.

  • Little Surprise in China’s “forced imports” Plan

    So, the “Phase One” trade agreement was signed on Wednesday and markets got some concrete figures to digest.

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 21

    WTI Under Pressure The CFTC COT positioning report showed that net length in US WTI positions rose by 12,415 contracts to 567,272 contracts in the week ending January 7th. The rise in WTI upside exposure came amidst a backdrop of heightened tensions between the US and Iran which many feared would boil over into a […]

  • Trade Truce or Temporary Ceasefire?

    As the date of signing the US-Sino agreement loomed, the situation grew slowly with new details which can’t be characterized as positive for the markets.

  • US & UK Inflation Weaker Than Expected

    US Inflation Rises Over 2019, Weaker Over December The US was treated to a rather mixed inflation report yesterday. The CPI figures for December came in with headline inflation rising 0.2% month on month. This reading was in line with expectations though marked a decline from the prior month’s 0.3% reading. Meanwhile, the core inflation […]

  • The Trade Deal is Likely to Breathe new Life into Stock-picking

    According to an informed source from the Trump administration, China has pledged to boost US imports of manufactured goods by $80 billion and energy by more than $50 billion over two years.

  • The IndeX Files 14-01-2020

    Attention Turning Back Towards US-Sino Trade Deal Global benchmark equities indices have seen a pause in their recent upward trajectory though are consolidating near highs, suggesting a continuation higher is coming. The most notable themes for asset markets currently are those of reduced geopolitical risks linked to US-Iran tensions as well as the favourable backdrop […]

  • Understanding December NFP: The puzzle of low unemployment

    The December Non-Farm Payrolls report, released last Friday, looks majorly disappointing at first glance.

  • Precious Metals Monday 13-01-2020

    Gold With tensions between the US and Iran having dissipated over recent sessions, the new week has commenced with a firmly risk-on tone, seeing reduced safe-haven demand for gold.  The market is now focusing on the US-Sino trade deal which is due to be signed on Thursday in Washington. Following the signing of the deal, […]

  • The Investment Bank Outlook 13-01-2020

    In our Investment Bank Outlook each week, we bring you a selection of perspectives from leading investment banks to outline the key issues and directional views for the week ahead. These excerpts, taken from research notes, will cover issues such as key market themes, economic releases, as well as any major trends and levels to […]

  • Weekly Market Outlook 13-01-20

    In this Weekly Market Outlook 07-01-20, our analyst looks into the trading week ahead, possible market moving data releases across the globe and the technical analysis to accompany it! Disclaimer: The material provided is for information purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The views, information, or opinions expressed in the text […]

  • Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

    Monday, January 13, 2020 – GDP (YoY)(GBP), Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Nov)(GBP), Monthly GDP 3M/3M Change(GBP).

  • Non-Farm Payrolls: Big Miss in December, but is this due to Shortage of Workers?

    The US economy added less than expected number of new jobs in December the Department of Labour said on Friday. It’s clear now that despite of December seasonal boost in hiring, it appears that the labour market started to show first noticeable cracks.