• The IndeX Files 10-12-2019

    Risk Factors Building Up Global equities benchmarks have seen a loss of upside momentum over recent trading. With the year winding down, the risk factors affecting equities (Brexit, US-Sino trade war, central bank monetary policy) remain at large. The UK elections this week should offer some clarity on how Brexit is likely to be handled […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 09-12-2019

    Gold The congestion in gold prices over recent weeks reflects the lack of clarity on the main factors impacting the gold market. US-Sino trade relations, as well as the outlook for the US Dollar continue to be the key themes to note for metals traders though investors have struggled to establish a strong bias in […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 12

    Key Points From This Week Mixed US Data The first set of headline US data disappointed this week with both the ISM Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing readings coming in short of market forecasts. The manufacturing reading was particularly worrying, showing that the US factory sector remain in contractionary territory for a fourth consecutive month over November. […]

  • The IndeX Files 03-12-2019

    Markets Reverse on Trade Deal Uncertainty Global equities benchmarks suffered a severe shift in sentiment this week with asset markets selling off on rising fears over the health of US-Sino trade talks. Late last week, it was reported that the US administration approved a bill supporting the rights of the Hong Kong protestors. The situation […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 02 -12 -2019

    Gold The US-Sino trade deal outlook remains the key factor affecting metals prices this week. Over the last month, increased expectations of a forthcoming deal have helped lean on gold prices, due to the ongoing rally in global equities benchmarks. The slide in gold has seen prices remaining below the $1500 handle over the last […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 11

    Key Points From This Week US-Sino Trade Deal Expectations Rise Again Investors had their expectations for a US-Sino trade deal bolstered once again this week as further comments from President Trump added encouragement. Trump noted that the US and China were in the “final throes” of a deal. The market now expects that the phase-one […]

  • The IndeX Files 26-11-2019

    Trade Deal Speculation Driving Markets Benchmark global equities indices remain well supported this week, though better strength is being noted in UK and European asset markets so far. Risk sentiment has been much firmer over recent weeks though we do seem to be in a low volatility period currently. The dominating theme continues to be […]

  • The IndeX Files 19-11-2019

    US-Sino Trade Deal Hopes Keep Markets Supported Though momentum has weakened recently, global equities benchmarks continue to trade higher this week as optimism over a potential US-Sino trade deal is keeping sentiment positive. Negotiators from both the US and China held further talks over the weekend aimed at keeping things moving. Following the cancelling of […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 18-11-2019

    Gold Precious metals begin the week under offer as gains in benchmark equities indices have seen reduced safe haven inflows. Optimism around the prospect of a US-Sino trade deal is keeping investor risk appetite well supported at the start of the new week. Over the weekend, negotiators held further talks in lieu of signing a […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 11-11-2019

    Gold The outlook for precious metals is evolving in light of the changing expectations for the path of the US dollar. Although the Federal Reserve pressed ahead with a further rate cut at its most recent meeting, Chairman Powell explained that the central bank would now be sitting on its hands while it assesses the […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 7

    Key Points From This Week The New Zealand Dollar has been the standout performer among the G10 currency pack this week. Encouraging signs that the US and China will sign a trade deal this month is seeing the kiwi back in demand. The Canadian Dollar has been the weakest performer over the week, however. While […]

  • Will The Fed Cut Rates In October?

    October Rate Cut Risks The September FOMC meeting was a disappointing meeting for USD bears. The Fed reduced its headline rate by a further 25 basis points though USD downside was offset by news that three members dissented against the cut. Additionally, the dot plot forecasts failed to show a clear path forward. As such, […]

  • The IndeX Files 08-10-2019

    Brexit & Trade Negotiations Driving Risk Sentiment Global benchmark indices have commenced the week’s trading with a mostly positive tone as attention shifts to the upcoming US – Sino trade negotiations. High-level officials from two leading global economies are due to meet in Washington on the 10th for the next round of negotiations. Over recent […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 07-10-2019

    Gold Gold prices were higher last week as a combination of risk aversion and renewed Fed easing expectations drove inflows for the precious metal. US data last week highlighted concerning weakness in the US economy. The ISM manufacturing reading printed its lowest level of the last ten years over September, remaining in contractionary territory for […]

  • ADP Jobs Number Raises NFP Risk

    Private Sector Growth Slows Looking ahead to tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payrolls release, there is plenty of scope for volatility. The ADP employment number released on Wednesday showed that over September, the US private sector created more jobs than was forecast but at a slower pace overall. This latest data adds to concerns that the labour market […]