• The Crude Chronicles – Episode 26

    Crude Recovers On COVID-19 Optimism Benchmark WTI prices have risen over the week as the rebound in global investor appetite helped oil recover from earlier losses in the week. Negative headlines attached to the growing economic impact of COVID-19 were leaning on oil prices at the start of the week, seeing a broad risk-off tone […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 25

    Benchmark WTI prices have had a much stronger session this week with prices recovering to highs of mid $51 from recent lows of $49. The recovery has largely been attributed to the recovery in global investor appetite over this week. OPEC Cuts Demand Outlook Investor uncertainty has been lower over the last month due to […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 21

    WTI Under Pressure The CFTC COT positioning report showed that net length in US WTI positions rose by 12,415 contracts to 567,272 contracts in the week ending January 7th. The rise in WTI upside exposure came amidst a backdrop of heightened tensions between the US and Iran which many feared would boil over into a […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 19

    Opportunities & Risks For WTI In 2020 The CFTC COT positioning report showed that WTI traders increased their positions by 13,700 contracts last week, taking the total position in WTI to 550,077 contracts. Upside exposure has been steadily increasing over recent weeks reflecting a more encouraging environment for WTI in the wake of recent developments. […]

  • Running Through The Top Market Themes Of 2019

    US-Sino Trade War The year began positively between the US and China. Following a truce agreed at the G20 summit in November 2018, both sides were engaged in trade talks aimed at delivering a trade deal ahead of the March 29th deadline given by president Trump. Over Q1 risk assets traded positively as media reporting […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 18

    Trade Deal & Brexit Optimism Supporting WTI The CFTC COT report showed that net long positions in crude increased by 67,504 contracts last. The total position in WTI crude now stands at 495,539 contracts. This latest increase in upside exposure in WTI crude reflects the optimism and relief among investors in the wake of OPEC+ […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 17

    Market Caught Between OPEC Cuts & Trade Deal Uncertainty CFTC COT data showed that net long positions in WTI crude declined by 42,901 contracts last week to sit at a total position of 428,035 contracts. The reduction in upside exposure in WTI prices likely reflects the diluted global investors appetite last week on concerns over […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 16

    Trade Deal Expectations Impacting Oil The CFTC COT report showed that investors increased their net long positions in WTI crude last week by a further 40,961 contracts. The total net-long position now stands at 470,936 contracts. The key premise for the build in upside exposure in WTI has been the rising expectations of a US-Sino […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 11

    Key Points From This Week US-Sino Trade Deal Expectations Rise Again Investors had their expectations for a US-Sino trade deal bolstered once again this week as further comments from President Trump added encouragement. Trump noted that the US and China were in the “final throes” of a deal. The market now expects that the phase-one […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 15

    Trade Deal Optimism Offsets Bearish EIA Release The latest CFTC COT report showed that over prior week, net-crude positions grew by 5,378 contracts to a total of 429,975 contracts on the week. The rise in WTI positioning continues to reflect ongoing expectations that a US-Sino trade deal is forthcoming. Over recent weeks, the market has […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 13

    WTI Longs Build On Trade Deal Optimism The CFTC reported that over the last week, net long positions in WTI Crude futures were higher by 22,512 contracts, moving back up to a total long position of 138,389 contracts. This most recent build in US crude exposure reflects optimism towards the ongoing US-Sino trade negotiations which […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 12

    Trade Deal Hopes VS Negative OPEC Outlook WTI prices commenced the week in demand as expectations that the US and China will formally approve the mini-trade deal agreed earlier this month helped support global investor appetite. The driving force behind the latest surge in optimism over US-Sino trade discussions was the comments made at the […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 11

    “Phase One” Trade Deal Nearly Ready For Signing According to the latest comments from President Trump the US and China are on course to sign off on the “phase-one” trade deal announced a few weeks ago. Speaking on Monday, Trump told reporters that the two countries were “ahead of schedule” in terms of signing the […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 8

    Further OPEC Cuts Under Discussion The CFTC COT report showed that Net longs in WTI crude have fallen to 4-week lows. Net longs fell by -34,843 contracts last week as bulls reduced positions for a third consecutive week. The recent downturn in global manufacturing has heightened concerns around the health of the global economy, putting […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 5

    Key WTI Headlines Over the Week The CFTC COT update for the week ending September 10th showed net long positions in WTI futures rose +44,048 contracts to 428,205 for the week. Speculative long positions jumped +18,639 contracts while short positions plunged -25,409 contracts. Benchmark WTI prices commenced the week with a 20% move north as […]