• The Crude Chronicles – Episode 16

    Trade Deal Expectations Impacting Oil The CFTC COT report showed that investors increased their net long positions in WTI crude last week by a further 40,961 contracts. The total net-long position now stands at 470,936 contracts. The key premise for the build in upside exposure in WTI has been the rising expectations of a US-Sino […]

  • The IndeX Files 03-12-2019

    Markets Reverse on Trade Deal Uncertainty Global equities benchmarks suffered a severe shift in sentiment this week with asset markets selling off on rising fears over the health of US-Sino trade talks. Late last week, it was reported that the US administration approved a bill supporting the rights of the Hong Kong protestors. The situation […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 13

    WTI Longs Build On Trade Deal Optimism The CFTC reported that over the last week, net long positions in WTI Crude futures were higher by 22,512 contracts, moving back up to a total long position of 138,389 contracts. This most recent build in US crude exposure reflects optimism towards the ongoing US-Sino trade negotiations which […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 11-11-2019

    Gold The outlook for precious metals is evolving in light of the changing expectations for the path of the US dollar. Although the Federal Reserve pressed ahead with a further rate cut at its most recent meeting, Chairman Powell explained that the central bank would now be sitting on its hands while it assesses the […]

  • The Crude Chronicles – Episode 12

    Trade Deal Hopes VS Negative OPEC Outlook WTI prices commenced the week in demand as expectations that the US and China will formally approve the mini-trade deal agreed earlier this month helped support global investor appetite. The driving force behind the latest surge in optimism over US-Sino trade discussions was the comments made at the […]

  • Trump Elections Blow As Republicans Lose Key Seats

    Republicans Lose Key Seats The 2019 US gubernatorial elections, held yesterday, marked an important shift in voting habits. Just one year out from the next US national elections, Democrats made gains in the key states of Kentucky and Louisiana. Virginia, the Democrats took control of the legislature for the first time in over two decades. […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 04-11-2019

    Gold Precious metals are starting to break higher as we head into the middle of Q4. The latest action from the Fed has created a supportive backdrop for gold which benefits during times of weakness in the dollar. At the October FOMC held last week the Fed acted in line with market forecasts by announcing […]

  • The IndeX Files 29-10-2019

    Indices Rally on FOMC & US-Sino Trade Deal Global equity benchmarks have commenced the week’s trading in a decisive manner with the S&P 500 breaking out to new all-time highs in response to an improved risk outlook among global investors. On Friday, the US Treasury Secretary, alongside the US Trade Representative, met with their Chinese […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 29-10-2019

    Gold With a host of central bank rate decisions slated this week, it will be an important week for metals. In the US, the Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to reduce its headline rate by a further 25 basis points this week. If the Fed follows through on these expectations, this should support gold, seeing […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 6

    Key Points From This Week The standout winner among G10 currencies this week has been the Canadian Dollar with only itself and the Swiss Franc having risen against USD. Higher oil prices have helped boost CAD which is also supported by improved risk appetite around US-Sino trade negotiations. GBP has been the weakest performer this […]

  • The IndeX Files 22-10-2019

    Parliament Blocks Brexit Deal Benchmark equities indices have been broadly higher this week as markets react to the latest headlines around Brexit. Following the Saturday sitting of parliament which saw the UK PM fail to pass his deal, a further extension to Article 50 has been requested by the UK. While the EU has not […]

  • Precious Metals Monday 21-10-2019

    Gold Gold has seen relatively subdued price action over recent sessions despite the big moves seen in USD. The recent patch of bad data out of the US continued last week with a disappointing Retail Sales number. Retail Sales were in negative territory over September, echoing the weakness seen in other key readings such as […]

  • The Friday Forex Takeaway – Episode 5

    Key points This week As with last week, the standout performer over the week has been the British Pound which has seen strong gains on increased optimism over a potential Brexit deal. The Japanese Yen has been the weakest currency of the G10 bloc this week as better risk appetite has seen a lack of […]

  • US Keeping Pressure on China To Sign “Phase One” Deal

    Deal Agreed But Not Yet Signed It has been a difficult few weeks for traders recently as markets have reacted neurotically to the seemingly constant stream of contradictory headlines around Brexit and US -Sino trade negotiations. At the end of last week, global equities indices were rallying on news that the US had agreed an […]

  • Turkish Economy At Risk Over Syria Offensive

    Fears of US Sanctions Alongside concerns for the human cost of Turkey’s invasion of Syria, the operation has also sparked fresh fears over the health of the Turkish economy. The Lira spent much of last year in free fall against the US dollar with inflation spiking to highs of around 25%. Following successive interventions by […]